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Average two-year fixed mortgage rate now surpasses 4%

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22/08/2022

Average two-year fixed mortgage rate now surpasses 4%

A few weeks on from the most recent decision to increase base rate by a further 0.50% to 1.75% on 4 August, the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk analyses how availability and average rates in the mortgage market have changed and what consumers trying to find a new deal might face.  

Average two-year fixed mortgage rate now surpasses 4%

A few weeks on from the most recent decision to increase base rate by a further 0.50% to 1.75% on 4 August, the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk analyses how availability and average rates in the mortgage market have changed and what consumers trying to find a new deal might face.  

Mortgage market analysis

 

Aug-21

Dec-21

Aug-22

19-Aug-22

Fixed and variable rate products

Total product count - all LTVs

4,660

5,315

4,407

4,138

All LTVs

Average two-year fixed rate

2.52%

2.34%

3.95%

4.09%

Average five-year fixed rate

2.75%

2.64%

4.08%

4.24%

Average 10-year fixed rate

3.00%

2.97%

4.19%

4.20%

Average two-year tracker rate

2.35%

1.58%

2.84%

3.33%

Data shown is as at the first available day of the month, unless stated otherwise. Source: Moneyfacts.co.uk

 

Mortgage market analysis

 

Aug-21

Dec-21

Aug-22

19-Aug-22

Fixed and variable rate products

Total product count - all LTVs

4,660

5,315

4,407

4,138

All LTVs

Average two-year fixed rate

2.52%

2.34%

3.95%

4.09%

Average five-year fixed rate

2.75%

2.64%

4.08%

4.24%

Average 10-year fixed rate

3.00%

2.97%

4.19%

4.20%

Average two-year tracker rate

2.35%

1.58%

2.84%

3.33%

Data shown is as at the first available day of the month, unless stated otherwise. Source: Moneyfacts.co.uk

 

Eleanor Williams, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, said:

“The average shelf-life of a mortgage product had sunk to a record low of just 17 days at the start of this month. In the aftermath of another base rate increase since then, providers are continuing to react with further revision of their offerings. The level of choice has reduced, dropping by 269 products and leaving 4,138 on sale currently. We have seen lenders withdraw parts of, or entire product ranges, with a number citing the pause in lending being due to unprecedented demand. Providers need to manage their service levels following an influx of applications, as borrowers have rushed to secure deals before rates have a chance to climb even further.

“And climb they have. Since the start of this month, the overall average two-year fixed rate has already increased by 0.14% and has now reached 4.09%. According to our first-of-month averages, this is the first time that this rate has breached 4% since February 2013 (4.09%). In December 2021 this rate sat at 2.34%, so has risen by 1.75% since then, 0.10% more than base rate has increased over the same period. The overall five-year fixed average has gone up by 0.16% since the first of this month to 4.24%, a rise of 1.60% compared to December 2021 (2.64%). However, over that same period, the differential between two- and five-year average rates has shrunk from 0.30% to 0.15%. The narrowing cost benefit of two year compared to five-year fixed rates may incentivise consumers to consider the added security of fixing payments for a longer term.

“Those wanting to fix for an even lengthier time might be pleased to see that the average 10-year fixed average rate has barely changed since the start of month, inching up by 0.01% to sit at 4.20% today. This is actually 0.04% lower than the current average five-year fixed rate. In the volatile swap-rate arena, shorter-term rates of up to two years have recently been more expensive than their longer-term five and ten-year equivalents, indicating risks are seen as greater in the near future than in the longer-term, and therefore feeding into lower pricing for consumers on corresponding mortgage products.

“For consumers hoping to mitigate some of the impact of the ongoing cost of living crisis with a new fixed deal, seeking advice may well be wise as this remains a very changeable landscape, and ensuring they select a product that suits their future plans and priorities is crucial. Locking in to a decade-long fixed deal could be a double-edged sword; mortgage rates are currently on an upwards trajectory and there is anticipation that further base rate rises could impact the sector, so securing a long-term, stable fixed rate deal may well be foremost in many consumers’ minds. However, there may equally be others who believe rates could fall over that time, and as many deals in this sector carry hefty early repayment penalties, some may be concerned they may be tied in to a higher rate and repayments, should cheaper deals resurface down the line.”

Eleanor Williams, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, said:

“The average shelf-life of a mortgage product had sunk to a record low of just 17 days at the start of this month. In the aftermath of another base rate increase since then, providers are continuing to react with further revision of their offerings. The level of choice has reduced, dropping by 269 products and leaving 4,138 on sale currently. We have seen lenders withdraw parts of, or entire product ranges, with a number citing the pause in lending being due to unprecedented demand. Providers need to manage their service levels following an influx of applications, as borrowers have rushed to secure deals before rates have a chance to climb even further.

“And climb they have. Since the start of this month, the overall average two-year fixed rate has already increased by 0.14% and has now reached 4.09%. According to our first-of-month averages, this is the first time that this rate has breached 4% since February 2013 (4.09%). In December 2021 this rate sat at 2.34%, so has risen by 1.75% since then, 0.10% more than base rate has increased over the same period. The overall five-year fixed average has gone up by 0.16% since the first of this month to 4.24%, a rise of 1.60% compared to December 2021 (2.64%). However, over that same period, the differential between two- and five-year average rates has shrunk from 0.30% to 0.15%. The narrowing cost benefit of two year compared to five-year fixed rates may incentivise consumers to consider the added security of fixing payments for a longer term.

“Those wanting to fix for an even lengthier time might be pleased to see that the average 10-year fixed average rate has barely changed since the start of month, inching up by 0.01% to sit at 4.20% today. This is actually 0.04% lower than the current average five-year fixed rate. In the volatile swap-rate arena, shorter-term rates of up to two years have recently been more expensive than their longer-term five and ten-year equivalents, indicating risks are seen as greater in the near future than in the longer-term, and therefore feeding into lower pricing for consumers on corresponding mortgage products.

“For consumers hoping to mitigate some of the impact of the ongoing cost of living crisis with a new fixed deal, seeking advice may well be wise as this remains a very changeable landscape, and ensuring they select a product that suits their future plans and priorities is crucial. Locking in to a decade-long fixed deal could be a double-edged sword; mortgage rates are currently on an upwards trajectory and there is anticipation that further base rate rises could impact the sector, so securing a long-term, stable fixed rate deal may well be foremost in many consumers’ minds. However, there may equally be others who believe rates could fall over that time, and as many deals in this sector carry hefty early repayment penalties, some may be concerned they may be tied in to a higher rate and repayments, should cheaper deals resurface down the line.”

Notes to editors

Pioneering financial comparison technology for over 35 years.

Moneyfacts Group plc is the UK’s leading provider of retail financial product data. Used by virtually every bank and building society in the UK, and supplied to the Bank of England, Financial Conduct Authority, Financial Ombudsman Service, HM Treasury, Prudential Regulatory Authority and UK Finance.

Our expert research team monitors the thousands of mortgages, savings, credit card, personal loan, business banking, life, pension and investment products in the UK.

Moneyfactscompare.co.uk is the financial product price comparison site, launched as Moneyfacts.co.uk in 2000 and rebranded to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk in 2023, which helps consumers compare thousands of financial products, including credit cards, savings, mortgages and many more. Unlike other comparison sites, Moneyfactscompare.co.uk shows whole of market data regardless of commercial bias, showing consumers a true picture of the best products based on the criteria they select.

We hope you find this press release insightful. We would appreciate a link back to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk if you decide to source this information.

For more information about us please see our key facts.

Broadcast

Our broadcast suite enables our finance experts to appear in-vision for television, and we regularly comment live on national and regional radio.

To arrange an interview for radio or television, please contact our press department. We have an in-house broadcast room.

 

Notes to editors

Pioneering financial comparison technology for over 35 years.

Moneyfacts Group plc is the UK’s leading provider of retail financial product data. Used by virtually every bank and building society in the UK, and supplied to the Bank of England, Financial Conduct Authority, Financial Ombudsman Service, HM Treasury, Prudential Regulatory Authority and UK Finance.

Our expert research team monitors the thousands of mortgages, savings, credit card, personal loan, business banking, life, pension and investment products in the UK.

Moneyfactscompare.co.uk is the financial product price comparison site, launched as Moneyfacts.co.uk in 2000 and rebranded to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk in 2023, which helps consumers compare thousands of financial products, including credit cards, savings, mortgages and many more. Unlike other comparison sites, Moneyfactscompare.co.uk shows whole of market data regardless of commercial bias, showing consumers a true picture of the best products based on the criteria they select.

We hope you find this press release insightful. We would appreciate a link back to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk if you decide to source this information.

For more information about us please see our key facts.

Broadcast

Our broadcast suite enables our finance experts to appear in-vision for television, and we regularly comment live on national and regional radio.

To arrange an interview for radio or television, please contact our press department. We have an in-house broadcast room.

 

Contact Us If you're looking for extra comment, a chart or more information, then please give us a call. We are always more than happy to help.
Rachel Springall Press Officer / Finance Expert
Caitlyn Eastell Apprentice Press & PR Assistant